Kill the Monster While It’s Still Small – Don’t Wait Until It Becomes Godzilla

by David McSwain

A consistently scheduled external loan review program will help to do exactly that. Problems do frank-3not magically appear overnight, they grow without being noticed because the problem gets played off as an isolated situation. Then the creep sets in as motion and momentum begin. Once this process reaches maturity, it is very difficult to overcome, especially if it has gone unnoticed for an extended period of time.

For example, a loan or group of loans tied to a particular industry start to experience cash flow problems.  Those problems manifest in past due loans and/or overdrafts.  We take swift action to correct the situation without really understanding the true nature and severity of the real problem. We are able to get the past due loan resolved or the overdraft covered without asking the key question: WHY?  The problem reoccurs and now it has our undivided attention. Unfortunately, we still have not recognized the underlying loan portfolio credit quality deterioration that has been growing and evolving. We should recognize that a single troubled credit does not constitute a systemic problem. However, the weakest loans should be a wakeup call that there may be problems larger and more complex than one or two loans that are experiencing difficulty.

Finally, we look up one day and we have several problem loans. Now our laundry is aired and loans with similar characteristics from an underwriting or industry perspective start causing pain.

A consistent and regimented program of external loan review is an important line of defense against the monsters that may be lurking within the bank’s lending function. Waiting for the eve of the next exam is like waiting until Godzilla is at the door before action is taken.

Three signs that you may have Godzilla in your bank are 1) rapid loan growth in any one call report bucket 2) creep in past due loan over the past few quarters 3) an increase in TDR loans.

For more information about Loan Review, ALLL Review, CRE Stress-Test or to schedule a consulting meeting for 2019, contact McSwain Consulting at 405-880-1039 or email david@mcswainconsulting.net. McSwain has battled a lot of Godzillas and knows how to deal with them.

 

 

Saving the Sinking Bank

by David McSwain

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Rural populations continue to decline, so what does that do to a local bank? How does a community bank survive when its bread and butter – the people and the businesses owned by the townspeople, are moving away or dying out? The pool of customers gets thinner each year. What’s feeding the local economy?

Technology — and especially mobile tech — is increasing at an increasing rate. It’s the “me, me, me/now, now, now” age. People want their money zipped through their phone not only to retailers but to each other. The time that customers could only choose from the local banks to do business is long gone, making the choices open for them, and the competition tighter for the banks. Cash apps and mobile-friendly banking seem to be the norm rather than an outlier these days and growing…

Customers continue to highly rely on credit to get by, maxing out credit cards not only around the holidays, but getting one too many credit cards without the ability to pay them all off. Credit scores plummet. When it comes time to get the loan, yeah, thanks, no, thanks. It becomes a bigger risk for the bank. Johnny’s burger fry shack can’t get the loan because he financed the boat, the house, and Jim and Jill’s college education.

Times are tough on banks, yes. So, what is a sinking bank to do? Can they not only survive but thrive?

Saving Tactic 1: Be innovative. 

Change is tough, and most people only feel comfortable doing what they’ve done in the past. Yet with changing dynamics in how and where people are doing business, banks must also change. Being innovative can mean reaching out to new markets, including other towns and even types of industries, and even becoming an online bank. Banks that never had to market or advertise in the past must now decide who they really are, how to position themselves to stand out, who they want to attract and then go after that business aggressively. No more just opening the doors and hoping people will walk in, or even drive though! This means employing people who are not simply paper pushers, but who are good people-people and salespeople. People who understand banking is a business that needs to attract business, not a commodity. Diversify. Own a niche for lending. Go for what the other guys aren’t. Become an expert in one area. What’s your specialty? I know of banks who have niches as an airplane lender, one that focuses on SBA loans and another that specializes in loans for vets across the country.

Unfortunately, a lot of community banks are behind on this front, but it’s not too late.

Saving Tactic 2: Exit Strategy

Can’t go it alone? Nothing wrong with that. Maybe it’s time to talk merger or being acquired, or your bank buying another! Join up with others who are doing what you’d like to be doing. There is great power in numbers, especially if it’s the right fit. Explore it. When I drive through a small town, I know if a community has a good bank because it’s thriving. That’s right. Just the opposite of what you might think. The town is not deteriorating. Streets are clean. The school looks good. In most cases, if you support your community, it will support you. Back in the ‘80s in Oklahoma, Gene Rainbolt bought many banks at a discount and made Banc First into one of the largest and most successful state banks in Oklahoma.

Whether it’s innovation, a fresh workforce, a new market or a merger or acquisition, the time is now for banks to look at not only surviving but thriving.

David McSwain is an Oklahoma bank consultant and president of McSwain Consulting providing loan risk management solutions, bank loan review services, and bank consulting services to community banks in Oklahoma, Texas, and Kansas.